"use strict"; const {Fragment: _Fragment, jsx: _jsx, jsxs: _jsxs} = arguments[0]; const {useMDXComponents: _provideComponents} = arguments[0]; function _createMdxContent(props) { const _components = { a: "a", annotation: "annotation", br: "br", h3: "h3", h4: "h4", hr: "hr", li: "li", math: "math", mfrac: "mfrac", mi: "mi", mn: "mn", mo: "mo", mrow: "mrow", msub: "msub", msubsup: "msubsup", msup: "msup", mtext: "mtext", ol: "ol", p: "p", path: "path", semantics: "semantics", span: "span", strong: "strong", svg: "svg", ul: "ul", ..._provideComponents(), ...props.components }; return _jsxs(_Fragment, { children: [_jsx(_components.p, { children: "Refer to the following content:image.png" }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["To determine the probability ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.msub, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "p_1" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.625em", verticalAlign: "-0.1944em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "msupsub", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.3011em" }, children: _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.55em", marginLeft: "0em", marginRight: "0.05em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.15em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) })] })] }) })] }), " that Arjun wins when both he and Gukesh each toss three different fair coins, with Arjun winning if he has strictly more heads than Gukesh, we proceed as follows."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Since each coin is fair, the probability of landing heads or tails is ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{1}{2}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , and all coin tosses are independent. For each person tossing three coins, the number of heads follows a binomial distribution with parameters ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "n" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "n = 3" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.4306em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "n" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6444em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "3" })] })] })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "p = \\frac{1}{2}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.625em", verticalAlign: "-0.1944em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }), " . Let ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " represent the number of heads Arjun gets, and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " represent the number of heads Gukesh gets. Thus, ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.mtext, { children: "Binomial" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { separator: "true", children: "," }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X \\sim \\text{Binomial}(3, \\frac{1}{2})" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord text", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "Binomial" }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mpunct", children: "," }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.1667em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.mtext, { children: "Binomial" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { separator: "true", children: "," }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y \\sim \\text{Binomial}(3, \\frac{1}{2})" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord text", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "Binomial" }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mpunct", children: "," }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.1667em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " , and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " are independent because their coin tosses are separate."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Arjun wins if ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X > Y" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.7224em", verticalAlign: "-0.0391em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] })] })] }), " , so we need to compute ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: 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The possible values for both ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " are 0, 1, 2, or 3. 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_jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Since ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord 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className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { 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[_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "7" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "64" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "7" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] })] }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "Now, sum these probabilities with a common denominator of 64:" }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "+" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "12" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "+" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "7" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "+" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "12" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "+" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "7" })] }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "22" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X > Y) = \\frac{3}{64} + \\frac{12}{64} + \\frac{7}{64} = \\frac{3 + 12 + 7}{64} = \\frac{22}{64}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { 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_jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "64" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "7" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "64" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mbin mtight", children: "+" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord 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nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "64" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "22" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "Simplify by dividing numerator and denominator by 2:" }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "22" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "÷" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "÷" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{22 \\div 2}{64 \\div 2} = \\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.2484em", verticalAlign: "-0.4033em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: 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_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: 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})] })] }) }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["To confirm, use symmetry: since ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " have identical distributions, ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", 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className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "<" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " , and:"] 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children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "<" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X > Y) + P(X = Y) + P(X < Y) = 1" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), 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className: "msupsub", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.3011em" }, children: _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.55em", marginLeft: "0em", marginRight: "0.05em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.15em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }), " . Among the options—(a) ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{1}{3}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , (b) ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , (c) ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{3}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , (d) ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "13" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{13}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "13" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " —the correct answer is (b)."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Thus, the probability ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.msub, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "p_1" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.625em", verticalAlign: "-0.1944em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "msupsub", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.3011em" }, children: _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.55em", marginLeft: "0em", marginRight: "0.05em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.15em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) })] })] }) })] }), " that Arjun wins is:"] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }) }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "3 / 3 could you explain this a bit better way" }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "Sure, let’s dive into this problem step-by-step and find the probability that Arjun wins when he and Gukesh each toss three fair coins, with Arjun winning if he gets strictly more heads than Gukesh. I’ll explain it clearly and naturally, making it easy to follow." }), "\n", _jsx(_components.hr, {}), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "understanding-the-setup", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#understanding-the-setup", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Understanding the Setup"] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "Imagine Arjun and Gukesh each flipping three fair coins. A fair coin means it has a 50% chance of landing heads (H) and a 50% chance of landing tails (T). Since they each toss three coins, we’re interested in how many heads each person gets and whether Arjun’s count exceeds Gukesh’s." }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsx(_components.strong, { children: "Arjun’s heads" }), ": Let’s call the number of heads Arjun gets ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " ."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsx(_components.strong, { children: "Gukesh’s heads" }), ": Let’s call the number of heads Gukesh gets ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " ."] }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["For three coin tosses, the possible number of heads for each person is 0, 1, 2, or 3. Our goal is to find the probability that ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X > Y" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.7224em", verticalAlign: "-0.0391em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] })] })] }), " , meaning Arjun has more heads than Gukesh."] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.hr, {}), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "modeling-the-coin-tosses", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#modeling-the-coin-tosses", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Modeling the Coin Tosses"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Since the coins are fair, each toss is independent, and the probability of heads is ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{1}{2}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " . The number of heads follows a ", _jsx(_components.strong, { children: "binomial distribution" }), ":"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " (Arjun’s heads) follows a binomial distribution with 3 trials and probability ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{1}{2}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , written as ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.mtext, { children: "Binomial" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { separator: "true", children: "," }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X \\sim \\text{Binomial}(3, \\frac{1}{2})" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord text", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "Binomial" }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mpunct", children: "," }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.1667em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " ."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " (Gukesh’s heads) is the same: ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.mtext, { children: "Binomial" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { separator: "true", children: "," }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y \\sim \\text{Binomial}(3, \\frac{1}{2})" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "∼" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord text", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "Binomial" }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mpunct", children: "," }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.1667em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " ."] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.li, { children: "Their tosses are independent because Arjun’s coins don’t affect Gukesh’s, and vice versa." }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["The binomial formula gives us the probability of getting exactly ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "k" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "k" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6944em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0315em" }, children: "k" })] }) })] }), " heads in 3 tosses:"] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "k" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { linethickness: "0px", children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "k" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsxs(_components.msup, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X = k) = \\binom{3}{k} \\left( \\frac{1}{2} \\right)^3" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: 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[_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose delimcenter", style: { top: "0em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "delimsizing size1", children: ")" }) })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "msupsub", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: 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_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\left( \\frac{1}{2} \\right)^3 = \\frac{1}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.404em", verticalAlign: "-0.35em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "minner", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "minner", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen delimcenter", style: { top: "0em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "delimsizing size1", children: "(" }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: 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_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }), " , and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { linethickness: "0px", children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "k" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\binom{3}{k}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.2451em", verticalAlign: "-0.35em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen delimcenter", style: { top: "0em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "delimsizing size1", children: "(" }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8951em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.355em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal mtight", style: { marginRight: "0.0315em" }, children: "k" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.144em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose delimcenter", style: { top: "0em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "delimsizing size1", children: ")" }) })] })] }) })] }), " is the number of ways to choose ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "k" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "k" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6944em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0315em" }, children: "k" })] }) })] }), " heads out of 3 tosses. Let’s calculate these probabilities:"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { linethickness: "0px", children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "⋅" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "⋅" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X = 0) = \\binom{3}{0} \\cdot \\frac{1}{8} = 1 \\cdot \\frac{1}{8} = \\frac{1}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "0" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.2451em", verticalAlign: "-0.35em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen delimcenter", style: { top: "0em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "delimsizing size1", children: "(" }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8951em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.355em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", 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nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }), " (all heads: HHH)"] }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["The same probabilities apply to ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " since Gukesh’s situation is identical."] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.hr, {}), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "defining-arjuns-winning-condition", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#defining-arjuns-winning-condition", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Defining Arjun’s Winning Condition"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Arjun wins if ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X > Y" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.7224em", verticalAlign: "-0.0391em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] })] })] }), " . 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children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " ranging from 0 to 3, let’s list the possible pairs where Arjun has more heads:"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsx(_components.strong, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: 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So, we only consider ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { separator: "true", children: "," }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { separator: "true", children: "," }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X = 1, 2, 3" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord 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children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n", _jsx(_components.li, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "19" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "+" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "22" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{19}{64} + \\frac{3}{64} = \\frac{22}{64}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: 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"mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mbin", children: "+" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { 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children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["So, ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "22" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X > Y) = \\frac{22}{64}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord 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[_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "64" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "22" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }), " . Simplify by dividing by 2:"] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "22" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "÷" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "64" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "÷" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{22 \\div 2}{64 \\div 2} = \\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.2484em", verticalAlign: "-0.4033em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", 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{ className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.4033em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" 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{ className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n", _jsx(_components.hr, {}), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "alternative-approach-using-symmetry", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#alternative-approach-using-symmetry", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 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className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " have the same distribution, the game is symmetric. There are three possible outcomes:"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X > Y" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.7224em", verticalAlign: "-0.0391em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] })] })] }), " (Arjun wins)"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "<" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: 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Let’s call ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "p" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X > Y) = p" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.625em", verticalAlign: "-0.1944em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "p" })] })] })] }), " . 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children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "16" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.2255em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line mtight", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.049em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.384em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size3 size1 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.344em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter sizing reset-size3 size6" })] }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t 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_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "This matches our earlier result!" }), "\n", _jsx(_components.hr, {}), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "final-answer", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#final-answer", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Final Answer"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["The probability that Arjun wins is ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " . This makes sense: out of all possible outcomes, considering ties and symmetry, Arjun wins slightly more than a third of the time when he needs to beat Gukesh outright. The options provided— ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{1}{3}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t 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className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "13" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{13}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "13" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " —point to ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " as the correct choice."] }), "\n", _jsx(_components.p, { children: "I mistakenly selected 3/8, how could have I avoided that?" }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["To answer your query about how you could have avoided mistakenly selecting ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{3}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " when the correct answer is ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{11}{32}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , let’s walk through the problem and identify where the error might have occurred, then provide clear strategies to prevent it. The scenario involves Arjun and Gukesh each tossing three fair coins, with Arjun winning if he gets more heads than Gukesh. We need to find the probability of this event and understand how to compute it accurately."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "understanding-the-problem", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#understanding-the-problem", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Understanding the Problem"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Since each coin is fair (probability of heads = ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{1}{2}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " ), the number of heads Arjun gets (let’s call it ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " ) and Gukesh gets (let’s call it ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " ) follows a binomial distribution with ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "n" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "n = 3" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.4306em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "n" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6444em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "3" })] })] })] }), " trials and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "p = \\frac{1}{2}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.625em", verticalAlign: "-0.1944em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", children: "p" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "2" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }), " . There are 8 possible outcomes for each (since ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsxs(_components.msup, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "2^3 = 8" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.8141em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "2" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "msupsub", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8141em" }, children: _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.063em", marginRight: "0.05em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) })] }) }) }) }) })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6444em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "8" })] })] })] }), " ), and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " are independent. The probabilities for each number of heads are:"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsx(_components.li, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { linethickness: "0px", children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { 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_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: 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})] }) }), "\n", _jsx(_components.li, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { linethickness: "0px", children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsxs(_components.msup, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: "(" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { fence: "true", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X = 3) = \\binom{3}{3} \\left( \\frac{1}{2} \\right)^3 = \\frac{1}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" 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"msupsub", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "1.054em" }, children: _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.3029em", marginRight: "0.05em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "2.7em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) })] }) }) }) }) })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "1" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] }) }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["The same applies to ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " . We need ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X > Y)" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " , the probability that Arjun has strictly more heads than Gukesh."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "possible-source-of-the-mistake", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#possible-source-of-the-mistake", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Possible Source of the Mistake"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["You selected ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{3}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " , which suggests a misstep in the calculation. A likely error is confusing the winning condition with a simpler probability, such as:"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsxs(_components.strong, { children: ["Calculating ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "2" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X = 2)" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "2" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] })] }), " : The probability that Arjun gets exactly 2 heads is ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{3}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] }) })] }), " . You might have thought this represents the winning probability, but it doesn’t account for Gukesh’s heads. For example, if Gukesh also gets 2 or 3 heads, Arjun doesn’t win."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsx(_components.strong, { children: "Partial Scenarios" }), ": You might have considered only some winning cases (e.g., Arjun gets 2 heads and Gukesh gets 0 or 1) and stopped there, missing other cases like Arjun getting 1 head and Gukesh getting 0."] }), "\n"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Since ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "3" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0.375" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{3}{8} = 0.375" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "8" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "3" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6444em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "0.375" })] })] })] }), " is close to ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "11" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "32" })] }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "≈" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0.34375" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "\\frac{11}{32} \\approx 0.34375" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1.1901em", verticalAlign: "-0.345em" } }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen nulldelimiter" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mfrac", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-t vlist-t2", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.8451em" }, children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-2.655em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "32" }) }) })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.23em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "frac-line", style: { borderBottomWidth: "0.04em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { style: { top: "-3.394em" }, children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "pstrut", style: { height: "3em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "sizing reset-size6 size3 mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mtight", children: "11" }) }) })] })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "≈" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6444em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "0.34375" })] })] })] }), " , it’s also possible you approximated or miscounted outcomes."] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h3, { id: "correct-calculation", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#correct-calculation", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Correct Calculation"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Let’s compute ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(X > Y)" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" })] })] })] }), " correctly using two reliable methods to see what you should have done:"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h4, { id: "method-1-conditional-probability", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#method-1-conditional-probability", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Method 1: Conditional Probability"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Consider all possible values of ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " (Gukesh’s heads) and calculate the probability that ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X > Y" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.7224em", verticalAlign: "-0.0391em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] })] })] }), " :"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.ul, { children: ["\n", _jsxs(_components.li, { children: [_jsx(_components.strong, { children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0" })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y = 0" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6444em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord", children: "0" })] })] })] }) }), " : ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "0" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { stretchy: "false", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.mo, { children: "=" }), _jsxs(_components.mfrac, { children: [_jsx(_components.mn, { children: "1" }), _jsx(_components.mn, { children: "8" })] })] }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "P(Y = 0) = \\frac{1}{8}" })] }) }) }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: [_jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), 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"vlist-s", children: "" })] }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist-r", children: _jsx(_components.span, { className: "vlist", style: { height: "0.345em" }, children: _jsx(_components.span, {}) }) })] }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose nulldelimiter" })] })] })] })] })] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.h4, { id: "method-2-symmetry-approach", children: [_jsx(_components.a, { className: "heading-link", href: "#method-2-symmetry-approach", children: _jsx(_components.svg, { xmlns: "http:www.w3.org/2000/svg", fill: "#ab2b65", viewBox: "0 0 20 20", className: "w-5 h-5", children: _jsx(_components.path, { fillRule: "evenodd", clipRule: "evenodd", d: "M9.493 2.853a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L7.545 6H4.198a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.69 5H3.302a.75.75 0 000 1.5h3.14l-.435 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L7.955 14h2.986l-.434 3.148a.75.75 0 001.486.205L12.456 14h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.69-5h3.346a.75.75 0 000-1.5h-3.14l.435-3.147a.75.75 0 00-1.486-.205L12.045 6H9.059l.434-3.147zM8.852 7.5l-.69 5h2.986l.69-5H8.852z" }) }) }), "Method 2: Symmetry Approach"] }), "\n", _jsxs(_components.p, { children: ["Since ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "X" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "X" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" })] }) })] }), " and ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsx(_components.mrow, { children: _jsx(_components.mi, { children: "Y" }) }), _jsx(_components.annotation, { encoding: "application/x-tex", children: "Y" })] }) }) }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-html", "aria-hidden": "true", children: _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "0.6833em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" })] }) })] }), " are identically distributed and independent, ", _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "katex", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "katex-mathml", children: _jsx(_components.math, { xmlns: "http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML", children: _jsxs(_components.semantics, { children: [_jsxs(_components.mrow, { children: [_jsx(_components.mi, { children: 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marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mclose", children: ")" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: "=" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.1389em" }, children: "P" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mopen", children: "(" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.2222em" }, children: "Y" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mrel", children: ">" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mspace", style: { marginRight: "0.2778em" } })] }), _jsxs(_components.span, { className: "base", children: [_jsx(_components.span, { className: "strut", style: { height: "1em", verticalAlign: "-0.25em" } }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: "mord mathnormal", style: { marginRight: "0.0785em" }, children: "X" }), _jsx(_components.span, { className: 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